Blind Spots

“Bull markets end when the perception of earnings growth disappears […]. Manias, on the other hand, end when the market runs out of buyers.” – Andy Kessler

2020 ended with the world collectively eager to put a challenging year in the rear-view mirror while looking forward to the light at the end of the tunnel. The US election results are now (mostly) behind us, and we have two approved Covid-19 vaccines being distributed in the US with an additional 5 being used in other parts of the world.  What is most surprising to me is, having witnessed a year where we endured the worst global pandemic in a century, the fastest bear market in history, a global recession, and a contentious presidential election; that I would find myself in the same place I was exactly a year ago: contemplating whether the market accurately reflects the reality of our economy.  

Waste Connections (WCN) – “Every Tuesday and Thursday”

Company:         Waste Connections (WCN)
Sector:                Industrials – Waste and Environmental Services
Price/Market Cap:                        $83/$22B
Target Price/Implied Upside:     $107/30%

Thesis
Waste Connections (WCN) is the third largest waste disposal company in North America, and the only company focused on secondary and exclusive markets.  The company has flourished behind the leadership of a seasoned management team focused on consolidating fragmented niche markets where they can streamline operations, exert pricing power, and improve profitability.